Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea4cccd5581919c7cd66e9b449cb8622b63e1a0b5d67ccd01a84d22a9061b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,814 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Over | 55c | 9,028$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.85 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 4,157$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 3,547$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.14 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 2,764$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.02 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,491$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.59 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,390$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.48 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,116$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.39 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 31c | 778$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 54c | 738.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 608$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 23c | 560.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 398$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 50c | 392.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 37c | 335.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 29c | 250.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 244.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 54c | 207.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 178.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 159.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 145.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 124.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 94.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 66.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 72c | 55.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 46.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 47c | 43.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 31.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…931abacked Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.