Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3bad4939ba0ffcafa323d963c13572916f641043f4997a5c35e57692580700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 54c | 270,234$145,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,307.45 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 107,830$49,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,537.64 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 46c | 63,398$29,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,163.13 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,599.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 54c | 54,334$29,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,993.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 37,436$17,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,218.33 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 31c | 8,457$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.1 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 46c | 7,363$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.66 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 67c | 6,114$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 5,314$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 4,575$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.07 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 4,372$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,330$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.89 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 55c | 2,859$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.93 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 2,719$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 2,635$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.02 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 56c | 2,580$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,246$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.81 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 1,798$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.42 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,734$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Under | 46c | 1,291$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 56c | 1,277$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 40c | 1,177$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 45c | 1,043$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.34 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 27c | 998.02$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 31c | 959.19$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 923.05$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.45 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 808.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.15 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 43c | 721$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 60c | 626.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 47c | 625.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.97 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 47c | 572.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 548.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 48c | 545.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 53c | 537.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 45c | 499.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 495.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.38 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 47c | 471.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 48c | 464.33$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…429cbacked Over | 55c | 419.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 337.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 332.9$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 311.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 47c | 308.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 294.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 34c | 294.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 288.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 55c | 275.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 46c | 259.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 61c | 234.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Under | 11c | 210.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 207.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 33c | 199.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 53c | 188.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Over | 56c | 177.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 42c | 175.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 48c | 161.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…0f32backed Over | 70c | 157.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 40c | 151.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 149.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 148.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…f585backed Under | 46c | 127.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 121.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 117.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 47c | 112.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…da18backed Under | 62c | 112.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 110.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 103.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 46c | 93.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Under | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Over | 59c | 92.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…249dbacked Over | 49c | 92.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.