TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,472 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No49c92,906$45,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,386.7429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes51c37,000$18,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,87040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd26e…6d8dbacked Yes51c22,222$11,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,333.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes51c9,223$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.733167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52019846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes50c6,273$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.7523354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No50c6,075$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.5637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9816543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c4,891$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.165,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes52c4,135$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c3,442$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.3749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes51c3,431$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes26c2,690$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.33225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c2,353$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.73,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c2,161$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes51c1,972$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0066357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes51c1,116$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5691942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes5c872.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9239127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c792.31$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.51,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes52c691.99$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5311963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes49c609$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1617143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c590.39$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0681651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c563.29$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.562,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes37c528.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6236339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No49c520.59$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8814022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Yes43c436.12$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.53540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c375.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.31,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No56c332.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No50c322.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7710846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes44c292.72$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes48c286$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes51c270.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.011838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No72c263.06$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862a…d26bbacked No49c260.29$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes51c240.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Yes51c222.22$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c188.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No47c178$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No57c177.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.31,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.436955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No30c172.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No72c166.54$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No48c165$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4228443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes34c148.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes50c148.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.22,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No50c147.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c140.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.631,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c135.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.711,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c123.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3239853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c116.74$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.61,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes48c107.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.58763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Yes52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes51c103.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.716842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5232936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c99.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.541,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No67c95.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4949535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c94.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No41c89.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8429362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No48c88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes53c80.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.445444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes49c79.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No51c78.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5310767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes45c77.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c74.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c68.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes50c60.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c58.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.023,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0894…3ddebacked Yes52c57.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes38c52.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9624253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No64c51.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c51.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed No48c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.524247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes50c50.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Yes49c49.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.382171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Yes51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes51c48.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6635758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No64c47.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No54c46.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.298248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes45c45.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked No60c45.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes73c44.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.718560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.164748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No51c41.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.684757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes50c40.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.218452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.