TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,105 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30021251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c4,130$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.948,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00028651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c2,151$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.492,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c1,828$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.688831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes79c1,262$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.110155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No79c1,260$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes46c1,052$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.1747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes25c1,017$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.084825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c944.52$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.931,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c920.69$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6849449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c648.99$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.221,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Yes79c610.71$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c594$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3823354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes56c575.97$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c509.82$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.751,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes22c392.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.611,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes20c387.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3314022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c348$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.581,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No78c320.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c297.52$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.093,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c281.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.345,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes18c279.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.17922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes46c263.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes24c261$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.878530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes67c258.38$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.245052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes71c249.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.641,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes22c235.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.486020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes23c225.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3381651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.221915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed No31c199.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c185.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No30c181.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7418160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes46c167.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes57c165.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c162$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.361,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes78c160.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.756955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c155.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.631,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes46c153.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.082755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.531226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes46c138.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.649535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No8c135$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes23c130.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.234454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes54c129$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.321376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9516262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes17c122$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5516740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes68c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes23c104.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.353915.4%6 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…c558backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No57c99.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes65c87.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.448740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No77c78.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.74757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0327…6d04backed Yes74c77.61$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes27c73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.229362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c72.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c70$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes46c69.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.536757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5588…663cbacked Yes50c65.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaed…d403backed No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes23c61.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No23c58.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.612,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c49.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes73c48.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb8…d10cbacked Yes44c47.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No31c45.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2127133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Yes34c40.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.761650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes53c39.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6210550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No40c36.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.552245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Yes75c35.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Yes74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.788263.4%52 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes66c32.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes46c29.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.738961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc644…1546backed Yes69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No76c26.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes46c21.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.842766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No47c21.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4660…de99backed Yes74c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5810…4d4abacked No77c18.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked No69c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-23.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe121…2be5backed Yes74c17.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed No77c16.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.381050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No77c13.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.720953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.