Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaba59d89e1dc02dbfbc08ec1716de3c3a4913a94e8f7a33721d62da247edda4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,780 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 41c | 70,000$28,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,699.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 21,611$13,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,605.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 8,950$6,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 6,824$4,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.68 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 4,628$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.48 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 58c | 3,868$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.52 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,817$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,529$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.79 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 59c | 2,101$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.6 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 42c | 1,977$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 1,691$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.36 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.3 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 60c | 897.09$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 63c | 842$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.54 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 840$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked No | 59c | 820$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 41c | 806$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed Yes | 41c | 730$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 722.6$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed Yes | 41c | 719.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 42c | 719.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 34c | 701.14$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 33c | 696.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 73c | 660.78$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 60c | 644.92$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked No | 59c | 630$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 31c | 567.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 62c | 539.35$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 520$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 438.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 37c | 388$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 42c | 369.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…0ff5backed Yes | 47c | 338.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 55c | 304.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 57c | 299.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 298.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 15c | 292.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 264$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 250$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 44c | 249.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 43c | 233.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 229.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 37c | 219.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 59c | 170.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 10c | 158.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 151.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Yes | 9c | 138.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 132.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked No | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 35c | 118.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 60c | 113.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 105.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed No | 64c | 99.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 96.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 91.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 30c | 90.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 63c | 88.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 49c | 81.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 25c | 67.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 72c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 35c | 64.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.