TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,470 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6185…2965backed No72c19,403$13,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,9701338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c17,858$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,858.1569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes28c8,370$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.417251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c7,912$5,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,160.722,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c6,744$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.323,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c4,520$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.091,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes35c4,378$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.0575142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No79c2,559$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.972142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes18c2,032$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.062619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c1,714$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.5128241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c1,513$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.271,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c1,456$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.961,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes23c1,341$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.0853645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes23c1,270$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.796227.4%17 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes22c927.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.651154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes25c840$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6306129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No76c607$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.32580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes36c589.84$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7276234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c585$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.256951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.324129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes26c507.44$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8640744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c501.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5535856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20522669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed No61c494.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…267ebacked Yes69c480.58$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes23c388$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.767847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes22c372.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.738932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No13c330.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7122332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed No63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes70c286.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.21758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No73c284.57$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0224541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No50c275.28$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9512141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No78c258.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005429.6%16 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1909150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c249.18$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes42c245.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1611356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c233$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.761,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…e882backed Yes21c220$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed No63c174.6$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes31c162.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No76c161.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes29c155.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10833047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes28c132$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0412157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+323.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes28c130$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67758.4%45 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+147.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904235.7%15 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c116.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0833737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656443.8%28 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754240.5%17 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.994671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes68c95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd985…1125backed Yes24c94.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No18c91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No70c82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.144555.6%25 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked No74c77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes29c72.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4118140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No76c71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.185250%26 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes65c67.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.582751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes22c67.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+102.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes29c66.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.071442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4129…ce4fbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+129.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked No32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c60.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No78c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.627554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes29c53.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.064858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No75c53.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.633759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes57c52.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2810865.7%71 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x819d…8d4cbacked Yes33c51.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c51.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5619347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610258.8%60 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3625855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes21c48.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No73c47.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No74c46.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.393458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c41.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.497750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No34c41.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.083438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes61c40.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed No59c40.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.043339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80c…dd0dbacked Yes80c39.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed No79c39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes53c38.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6442046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.