TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No55c17,933$9,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,121.452,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c16,716$8,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,426.713,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c5,929$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.1775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes76c5,643$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.1353645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No33c5,576$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.1418644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c3,086$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.661,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed No33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0101957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No24c2,602$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.1816045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No33c1,594$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.0220548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes23c1,410$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.676227.4%17 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No25c1,177$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.126550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes24c1,036$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.149143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No36c1,007$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c951.6$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3869851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No72c921$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.882962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c906.66$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.821,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No75c900$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8516060.6%97 W · 63 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes56c894.61$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.986030%18 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed No71c839$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No32c738.82$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.066761.2%41 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes32c626.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No74c558$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c551.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.48932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No75c491.45$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7330647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c485.62$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.435856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No71c421$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No63c420$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.224650%23 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No65c388$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.87847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No33c380.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0217749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes53c378.48$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1340744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c372.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.234547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No80c369$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed No30c300.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.282516%4 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8228241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+122.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick17cpaid+155.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+267.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No71c284.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.37750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes32c279.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9112460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes21c273.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5611356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes20c252$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4321041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No25c249.91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.433342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes69c249.83$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7178248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c247.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3622669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked No25c240$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b92…b96bbacked Yes31c236.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed No71c225.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Yes16c206.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes23c206.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.883043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No23c200$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c181.75$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2562452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No32c169.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.685556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes27c162.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.63262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a0…379ebacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes36c149.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3212141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes33c146.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7816056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes48c143.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8319458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c142.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0376234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes72c137.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.671040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa13…1115backed No70c136$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes80c130.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes23c130.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304235.7%15 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeae1…0991backed Yes30c129.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.173652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a42…4930backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes17c123.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.542619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes31c123.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No66c119.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.423745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes35c119.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.025375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No42c118.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.127450%37 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c117.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7439857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes27c113.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304456.8%25 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No57c107.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.773458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Yes26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb358…2723backed No26c106.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes34c103.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355032%16 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c103.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9442046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0299…5f02backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017547.4%83 W · 92 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c92.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5119347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes78c89.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.