TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa13…1115

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+43.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.98
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.98
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.72
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.1
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$25.99
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Flavio Cobollibacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.94
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.27
Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.04
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$27.11
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$22.8
Asuncion: Adolfo Vallejo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$64.69
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.06
Miami Open: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.4
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Miami Open: Martin Damm vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.77
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Nuno Borgesbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.33
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.08
Miami Open: Marcos Giron vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.64
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.43
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Miami Open: James Duckworth vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$40.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.