Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Adolfo Vallejo vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf141e714a03255e455106bf4fdffd8328395f43c85c058547bd77db0053145e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Adolfo Vallejo, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Adolfo Vallejo | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Franco Roncadelli | 28c | 2,684$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.62 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 2,578$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Franco Roncadelli | 22c | 1,636$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.79 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 13c | 971.09$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.85 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Franco Roncadelli | 46c | 968.28$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.44 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adolfo Vallejo | 39c | 831.94$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.36 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Franco Roncadelli | 13c | 799.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 48c | 656.35$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.65 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 26c | 373.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Franco Roncadelli | 38c | 324.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Roncadelli | 55c | 317.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 305.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adolfo Vallejo | 63c | 304.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 304.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 293.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franco Roncadelli | 11c | 270.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Adolfo Vallejo | 70c | 258$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Franco Roncadelli | 24c | 225.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli | 32c | 222.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Roncadelli | 11c | 216$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Franco Roncadelli | 9c | 199.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Adolfo Vallejo | 58c | 199.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Franco Roncadelli | 12c | 194.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 168.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…1115backed Franco Roncadelli | 61c | 164.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Franco Roncadelli | 8c | 142$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 61c | 138.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Roncadelli | 10c | 105.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Franco Roncadelli | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Adolfo Vallejo | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Franco Roncadelli | 20c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Adolfo Vallejo | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Franco Roncadelli | 23c | 74.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Franco Roncadelli | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Adolfo Vallejo | 72c | 66.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 44.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 37.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Adolfo Vallejo | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 29.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Adolfo Vallejo | 44c | 23.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.