TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Valentin Royer, Thiago Agustin Tirante
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,376 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Valentin Royer29c19,698$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.162,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Valentin Royer34c14,683$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.947357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante66c8,582$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.5893055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante70c8,555$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.822,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Valentin Royer24c7,065$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70030225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante72c6,375$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.832,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante67c6,215$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.726,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Thiago Agustin Tirante59c5,259$3,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.956749.3%33 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Valentin Royer51c4,918$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2a…ca1bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante59c4,437$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante69c4,382$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.177,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Valentin Royer54c4,343$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.1525453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Valentin Royer35c4,184$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.762,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3a…d09bbacked Valentin Royer53c4,122$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Valentin Royer27c4,005$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.334129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee9…eae0backed Thiago Agustin Tirante67c3,752$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Valentin Royer26c3,752$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Valentin Royer33c3,722$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.141,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Thiago Agustin Tirante54c3,160$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.9113351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Valentin Royer19c3,085$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Valentin Royer35c2,954$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.8750731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Valentin Royer28c2,606$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.6125957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Valentin Royer52c2,500$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…fed6backed Valentin Royer41c2,465$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.388143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Thiago Agustin Tirante47c2,137$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7243051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Valentin Royer32c2,127$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.3981933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thiago Agustin Tirante65c2,060$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Valentin Royer53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Valentin Royer52c1,908$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9140748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Thiago Agustin Tirante63c1,848$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.1526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Valentin Royer37c1,836$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.092,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Thiago Agustin Tirante48c1,712$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.288060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bb…b173backed Valentin Royer31c1,576$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28e…bffbbacked Valentin Royer51c1,404$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Valentin Royer39c1,331$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51820643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…69b8backed Valentin Royer22c1,317$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f7…6d29backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c1,242$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante45c1,234$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.161,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Valentin Royer33c1,229$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Valentin Royer46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5641…116abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante49c1,159$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Valentin Royer53c1,141$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6031,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante47c1,115$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.6924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Valentin Royer53c1,105$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.8422352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Valentin Royer37c1,088$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Valentin Royer49c1,087$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6313251.5%68 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Valentin Royer27c1,050$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.510543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante63c1,046$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentin Royer45c1,027$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.077,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Valentin Royer54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante51c979.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.638229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2506…3f00backed Valentin Royer44c923$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Valentin Royer24c912.93$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.214,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante65c901.74$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Valentin Royer47c897.87$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante65c881$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Valentin Royer37c789.16$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6212030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Thiago Agustin Tirante48c774.08$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da3…748ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante48c760$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Valentin Royer53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ecd…cdb4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante56c737$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+116.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Valentin Royer51c728.44$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37435344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed Valentin Royer50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44fe…53e7backed Valentin Royer52c693$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…b0c5backed Valentin Royer31c670$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thiago Agustin Tirante46c663.75$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.572,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Valentin Royer23c655.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8dadbacked Valentin Royer44c633$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Valentin Royer27c606.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…d142backed Thiago Agustin Tirante48c597$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante47c595.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7453058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Thiago Agustin Tirante65c583.37$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3530744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa391…646abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante49c556$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante51c553.75$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante55c541.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.072552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante63c521.72$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.525759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Valentin Royer39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante53c511.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205a…0086backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c511$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ef…4414backed Thiago Agustin Tirante56c508$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Valentin Royer53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante47c482$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Valentin Royer36c467.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.646,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Valentin Royer29c458.9$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13323735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Thiago Agustin Tirante70c430.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.426256.5%35 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe72…42dcbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante48c430$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c94…e0a6backed Valentin Royer53c430$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante59c427.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.133852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…3091backed Valentin Royer35c412.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.512850%14 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x440c…4171backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c399$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+357.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Valentin Royer26c377.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante68c375.79$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.494,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valentin Royer49c357.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.567,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55c8…29b4backed Valentin Royer52c355$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Valentin Royer55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Thiago Agustin Tirante61c326.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.491,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e8…015fbacked Valentin Royer52c323$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f76…fa11backed Valentin Royer51c311$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Thiago Agustin Tirante47c307$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.543242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Valentin Royer8c303.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.