TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,308 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes40c30,986$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5005438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No62c24,765$15,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,424.86659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c18,941$7,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,201.768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No61c10,169$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.853641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes39c8,695$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-50.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.9721058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No60c6,482$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.045653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c6,465$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c3,919$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.4122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes37c3,450$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.614738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No59c3,333$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.537444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c3,114$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c2,998$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No59c2,623$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.4533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No61c2,403$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.1540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c2,367$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No60c2,223$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c1,721$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.7141854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes39c1,500$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes37c1,350$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No79c1,111$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.316155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3285236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes17c699$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.833420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes40c670.68$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2686829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes39c669.41$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8111150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No60c586.37$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.553951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes38c578.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes37c550$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Yes38c514.09$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b1…9121backed No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c499.47$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed No62c425.74$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes13c410.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.341637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No62c400$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No60c364.8$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.924825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd8…ac23backed Yes8c331.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes37c325.68$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11126046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…0af7backed Yes37c299.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes37c294.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…9b75backed Yes38c286.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes40c252.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…a32abacked Yes38c244.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccca…8d98backed Yes38c233.67$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c179.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c179.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14dc…ef3abacked No63c176.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf97d…85ddbacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dd…8d59backed No63c156.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2513636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…f862backed No63c148.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.01560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd348…9adabacked No63c146.52$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No63c142.91$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ec…6a6cbacked Yes38c142$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x982b…85a5backed Yes38c141$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes36c138.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb404…9de2backed No63c135.92$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7e…4792backed Yes37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes38c134$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.923228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de5…724bbacked Yes37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d2…7737backed Yes38c126$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4293…11fdbacked Yes38c125.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa6…9a82backed Yes38c123$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd8…2113backed Yes37c112$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.99137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed No63c106.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7f…08d9backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.839944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes37c98.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.034252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes40c98.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.56955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes37c91.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9814553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes15c86.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c84.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes38c81.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.096035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed No62c80.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.662240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b4…9ef6backed No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.