Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c33cf7a216960b74319252bfb9a86f5d9b570d8b182f53a32fad33ee6f12b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,308 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 40c | 30,986$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 62c | 24,765$15,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,424.8 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 18,941$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,201.7 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 61c | 10,169$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 39c | 8,695$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.97 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 60c | 6,482$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.04 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 6,465$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 3,919$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.41 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,450$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.61 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.53 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 38c | 3,114$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.2 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 2,998$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.59 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 2,623$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.45 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 61c | 2,403$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.15 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,367$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 2,223$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.2 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 1,721$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.71 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 79c | 1,111$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 17c | 699$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 40c | 670.68$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 39c | 669.41$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 60c | 586.37$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 38c | 578.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Yes | 38c | 514.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b1…9121backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 499.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 62c | 425.74$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 13c | 410.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 62c | 400$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 60c | 364.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…ac23backed Yes | 8c | 331.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 325.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…0af7backed Yes | 37c | 299.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 37c | 294.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…9b75backed Yes | 38c | 286.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…a32abacked Yes | 38c | 244.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…8d98backed Yes | 38c | 233.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 179.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 36c | 179.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ef3abacked No | 63c | 176.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…85ddbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…8d59backed No | 63c | 156.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…f862backed No | 63c | 148.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…9adabacked No | 63c | 146.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 63c | 142.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ec…6a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…85a5backed Yes | 38c | 141$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…9de2backed No | 63c | 135.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…4792backed Yes | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 38c | 134$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…724bbacked Yes | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d2…7737backed Yes | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…11fdbacked Yes | 38c | 125.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…9a82backed Yes | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…2113backed Yes | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed No | 63c | 106.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…08d9backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 37c | 98.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 37c | 91.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 84.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 38c | 81.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…9ef6backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.