TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,965 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c5,154$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.0796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c2,485$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.654971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c2,036$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes29c1,595$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes30c1,350$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c1,207$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9841854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c915.28$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c760.57$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0952748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c610.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…f7cebacked Yes19c553.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11615844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c388.71$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Yes26c388.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes29c363.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes30c335$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb836…fa1cbacked No71c316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c307.74$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a6c…b36abacked No71c298$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes30c289.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.713253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No70c287.92$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182c…3babbacked No71c274$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes30c262$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.69137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7740…cd28backed No71c259$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes29c259$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1138547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6021054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e79…ed46backed No71c214$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.063100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes24c195.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3911136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36be…30bcbacked No71c162$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes21c152.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c143$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes26c142.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.18617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e3…56ddbacked Yes30c124.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No70c112.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.84158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes24c106$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.444825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.013650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.994379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No71c97.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes30c95.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.591650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…933dbacked Yes30c90.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c90.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a3…c725backed Yes30c86.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c85.32$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c82.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes28c77.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes26c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.466863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No70c71.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c68.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8746047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes26c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes30c66.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.975839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8437…b43abacked No71c64.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c60.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8326241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c49.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes25c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c47.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No70c41.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c41.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed No70c32.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77af…d3a5backed No71c32.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd63f…d17bbacked No71c32.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92be…34e3backed No71c31.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb4…23e5backed No71c29.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5e…c5c0backed No71c29.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6e…7954backed No71c28.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…ce31backed No71c27.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d6…5e9dbacked No71c25.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No70c25.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.523353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No71c16.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No70c16.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.061392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.