Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f27223566ea73892b47d982833c06b6533ab11005760bf039e36b672c47097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,067 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 19,535$12,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490.9 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 13c | 10,689$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.56 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 3,758$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.13 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,114$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 3,013$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.5 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 2,879$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 13c | 1,118$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 1,100$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 1,016$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 970.88$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.93 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 33c | 877.37$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 33c | 852$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.84 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 3c | 717.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 14c | 714.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 30c | 703.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 33c | 572.18$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 433.54$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 425.76$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 40c | 393.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 68c | 303.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 15c | 281.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 30c | 274.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 21c | 242.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 48c | 241$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Yes | 56c | 217.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 53c | 208$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed No | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 53c | 199$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 69c | 148.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…83c8backed No | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 121.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 113.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 61c | 106.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 98.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 88.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 86.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 38c | 78.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 77.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…dad3backed Yes | 33c | 67.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yes | 53c | 58.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 38c | 57.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 70c | 55.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 49.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 48.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…f17dbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 34c | 39.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…8cf9backed Yes | 56c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 24.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 53c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 69c | 18.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed No | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…69fdbacked No | 68c | 16.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.