Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c00063e682c835f4bd84de64d8d822430d6186c6ab8b877a4f958f3a4afbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,858 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 14,571$8,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,617.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 69c | 5,795$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.31 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 56c | 3,581$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 2,290$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.84 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,231$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,116$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.91 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,015$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 999.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 736.7$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.07 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 34c | 575.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 441.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 31c | 345.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 333.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 60c | 273$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 268.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 47c | 267.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 75c | 265.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 194.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 21c | 152.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 43c | 141.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 31c | 134.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 132.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 47c | 126.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 24c | 124.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 35c | 124.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 118.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 106.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 91.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…449bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +179.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 30c | 84.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 56c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 31c | 61.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 31c | 61.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 62c | 48.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 72c | 44.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 31c | 34.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 79c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.