Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. California Golden Bears (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39328efe379a54307135835d89b1a4ead07cd97403a9550740fd4bf8408f1f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbia Lionsof Columbia Lions, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Columbia Lions | 43c | 2,078$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 53c | 1,391$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked California Golden Bears | 62c | 1,200$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Columbia Lions | 43c | 679.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Columbia Lions | 49c | 326.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Columbia Lions | 57c | 253.68$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Columbia Lions | 41c | 240.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738fbacked Columbia Lions | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…99c8backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 206$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 204.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…a11abacked California Golden Bears | 55c | 193.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed California Golden Bears | 53c | 193.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…09e2backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 178$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Columbia Lions | 46c | 168$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…1270backed Columbia Lions | 46c | 147$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Columbia Lions | 68c | 121.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Columbia Lions | 48c | 102.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked California Golden Bears | 56c | 101.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Columbia Lions | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 98.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 92.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked California Golden Bears | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 73.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed California Golden Bears | 59c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Columbia Lions | 46c | 61.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…e343backed California Golden Bears | 61c | 58.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 53.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears | 53c | 52.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked Columbia Lions | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed California Golden Bears | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…7844backed Columbia Lions | 48c | 37.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked California Golden Bears | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c1…2ba9backed California Golden Bears | 55c | 34.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Columbia Lions | 33c | 31.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Columbia Lions | 38c | 26.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Columbia Lions | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked California Golden Bears | 54c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Columbia Lions | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed California Golden Bears | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.