Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9288e870d3ede21ff53785281e7fc87a8f82d348886b278cf674228d20090c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,615 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 18,795$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.8 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 16c | 6,937$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 51c | 5,914$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,981$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,050$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 2,688$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.49 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked No | 66c | 1,336$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 16c | 1,145$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 45c | 647.26$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.1 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 577.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.93 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 412.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 352.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 17c | 304.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 262.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 50c | 226.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 49c | 165.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…cde8backed Yes | 20c | 163.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…2ab1backed No | 80c | 163.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 42c | 143.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 12c | 134.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 8c | 126.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 115.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 19c | 105.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 51c | 97.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 17c | 94.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 24c | 92.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 43c | 75.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 72.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 65.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…118cbacked Yes | 48c | 46.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked No | 70c | 43.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 43c | 37.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 49c | 31.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Yes | 49c | 20.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 57c | 19.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.