Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42020d8c69ebd1f95dbb3c07b7240a9b3773c9f2f92f0ae8f513d40db1aa78e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 31c | 11,247$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 7,997$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.41 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 6,762$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 6,417$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 4,844$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,411$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 2,269$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 19c | 2,228$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 546.44$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 505$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 460.42$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 20c | 442.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 422$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 396.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 74c | 356.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 71c | 348.79$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 261.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 254.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 253.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 69c | 227$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 220$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 190.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 113$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 108.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…c145backed Yes | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122e…cc5dbacked Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 20c | 98.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 96.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…3cf9backed Yes | 26c | 95.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 36c | 59.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…a54bbacked No | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 43.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…3b45backed No | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 37c | 42.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 78c | 39.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…abcebacked No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…94cbbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 71c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 79c | 27.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…60bcbacked No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fd…2b15backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…f559backed No | 80c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 78c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 80c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.