Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a9e2e24e94ef95946958a6cd4bf78178952f72f91471bed2bfc797ecce22ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,513 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 14,111$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,425.04 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 14c | 2,763$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.92 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,755$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,555$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 1,276$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 813.6$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 636.94$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 14c | 594.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.14 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 574.86$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 497.54$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed No | 19c | 415.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 14c | 409.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 25c | 407.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 387.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 70c | 357.46$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 14c | 277.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 16c | 273.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 16cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 6c | 253.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 235.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.87 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…a658backed No | 76c | 227$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…c8d2backed Yes | 24c | 227$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 54c | 224.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…a49ebacked No | 76c | 168$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…29b8backed Yes | 24c | 168$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…c4c3backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 12c | 160.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 14c | 154.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 141$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 34c | 133.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 19c | 133.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 120.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 94.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 39c | 88.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed No | 14c | 79.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked No | 14c | 75.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…ab4ebacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 15c | 69.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 76c | 63.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 61.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 78c | 35.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed No | 79c | 26.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…8a92backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 76c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.