NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1d6e6d69a5ab6ae6ff780c75cdc8c7a23215518d960f157cad7984df8a572d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Nuggets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,088,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,088,598 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 949 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 778,458$412,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412,578.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 47c | 537,915$253,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,157.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Suns | 47c | 213,963$101,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,858.92 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 47c | 115,747$54,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,345.82 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 47c | 97,000$45,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,410 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Nuggets | 52c | 81,661$42,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,446.58 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 79,954$40,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,776.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Nuggets | 51c | 66,639$33,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,985.89 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 52c | 62,183$32,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,303.31 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nuggets | 53c | 56,841$30,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,125.73 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Nuggets | 0c | 44,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Suns | 48c | 43,471$20,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,604.86 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 48c | 38,623$18,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,221.97 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…ef68backed Suns | 49c | 29,473$14,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,031.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Nuggets | 53c | 26,648$14,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,123.44 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Suns | 48c | 26,365$12,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,785.68 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 24,847$13,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,168.82 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Nuggets | 52c | 24,662$12,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,824 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Nuggets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…3858backed Suns | 49c | 18,332$8,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,349.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…144fbacked Suns | 49c | 18,312$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…428cbacked Suns | 49c | 18,143$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,252.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…5258backed Suns | 49c | 17,386$8,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,866.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Suns | 30c | 16,707$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,635.08 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Nuggets | 52c | 16,640$8,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,728.8 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 48c | 15,565$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,093.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…4d15backed Suns | 49c | 15,492$7,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Nuggets | 53c | 15,012$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…a5f7backed Suns | 49c | 11,339$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…40c9backed Suns | 49c | 10,980$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…62ffbacked Suns | 49c | 10,925$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,571.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…20a0backed Suns | 49c | 10,107$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Suns | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Suns | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Suns | 59c | 9,891$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.19 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Suns | 48c | 9,648$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…c615backed Suns | 50c | 9,404$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab0…1b9cbacked Suns | 49c | 9,300$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 48c | 9,169$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.29 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…a53dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,151$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,483.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…8e5abacked Suns | 51c | 9,080$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Suns | 48c | 8,717$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.67 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a3…dc96backed Suns | 49c | 8,584$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…715fbacked Suns | 49c | 8,373$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…a438backed Suns | 49c | 8,053$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Nuggets | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…2ac1backed Suns | 51c | 7,966$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,877$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,641$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…3d84backed Nuggets | 50c | 7,497$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ab…270ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 7,427$3,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444d…dd84backed Suns | 50c | 6,906$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 53c | 6,904$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a5…484abacked Suns | 49c | 6,896$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Suns | 48c | 6,854$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.17 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc074…425bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,820$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34a…8da9backed Suns | 49c | 6,788$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 51c | 6,679$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…a83fbacked Suns | 50c | 6,661$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…4ea4backed Suns | 51c | 6,498$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 6,449$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.82 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…a464backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,344$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…93bfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,245$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Suns | 48c | 6,170$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.38 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…b19abacked Nuggets | 50c | 6,116$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 48c | 6,014$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…f6cdbacked Suns | 49c | 5,887$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,758$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 53c | 5,737$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Suns | 48c | 5,524$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.47 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…9142backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,270$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…1bb3backed Suns | 49c | 5,237$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Suns | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 50c | 5,094$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…c13fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 5,089$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…4d74backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,075$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Nuggets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 47c | 5,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.97 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Suns | 48c | 4,956$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.47 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…20babacked Suns | 50c | 4,932$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,898$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.13 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…f36fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,861$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 48c | 4,841$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.32 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…fed1backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,838$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,811$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,770$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…6dc1backed Suns | 51c | 4,668$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…eca0backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,516$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Nuggets | 42c | 4,516$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.07 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Suns | 45c | 4,499$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.59 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…7c23backed Suns | 51c | 4,460$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…9b29backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,381$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…b6d9backed Suns | 51c | 4,375$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 4,373$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.93 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Nuggets | 53c | 4,175$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…18c3backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,143$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…7fe8backed Suns | 50c | 4,048$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…43b2backed Suns | 50c | 4,031$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.