NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf565e4e4338bd7ec6eb2e81dc695997795a8e5ddf41566a55c79e584fa8ff74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,129 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 30,750$15,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,375 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 50c | 27,911$13,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,955.55 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Over | 51c | 24,922$12,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,211.57 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 23,050$11,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,462.86 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 22,750$11,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,349.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 51c | 14,494$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.93 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 14,290$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d541backed Under | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 13,404$6,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.9 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 11,683$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 50c | 10,468$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.96 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 9,808$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.92 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Over | 51c | 9,789$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.77 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…3d5cbacked Over | 53c | 8,554$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…4921backed Under | 47c | 8,239$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,210$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.44 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 50c | 7,395$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 7,179$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.64 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 7,126$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.05 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…bcd0backed Under | 47c | 6,697$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…e2acbacked Over | 53c | 6,562$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…7c7dbacked Over | 53c | 6,242$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…57a3backed Under | 47c | 6,205$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 50c | 6,200$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…5f60backed Under | 51c | 6,145$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cbcebacked Over | 50c | 6,145$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 5,763$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.27 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,626$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.93 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 4,743$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.9 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…a8cfbacked Under | 47c | 4,635$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…0152backed Over | 53c | 4,398$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…30fcbacked Over | 53c | 4,050$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 49c | 3,714$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.87 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…de3cbacked Under | 47c | 3,620$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 50c | 3,110$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.56 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 2,868$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,506$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.52 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 52c | 2,376$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.51 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,215$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 50c | 1,855$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 48c | 1,802$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.52 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Over | 69c | 1,481$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 52c | 1,356$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 1,338$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.64 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 1,311$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.39 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 1,307$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.92 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 48c | 1,204$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.56 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 1,141$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.82 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 53c | 1,056$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.56 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 73c | 895$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 51c | 876.47$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.47 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 59c | 859.75$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.02 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 47c | 786.64$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.72 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Over | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecf…3c80backed Over | 52c | 728.1$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 700$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 5c | 690.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 661.12$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 36c | 606.42$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 547.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Over | 48c | 520.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 498.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Under | 53c | 488.68$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 47c | 474.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 47c | 459.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 50c | 458.45$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 442.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 50c | 439.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 50c | 428$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 52c | 423.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…49bdbacked Under | 47c | 413$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked Under | 26c | 386.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 384.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.