TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,162 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c30,000$15,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,291.411,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c28,223$13,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,348.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c20,765$10,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,382.6724053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c17,017$8,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,309.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d541backed Under0c13,990$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Under50c7,946$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9735655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over53c7,777$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,655.192133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c5,570$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c4,738$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c4,312$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over51c3,726$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.5917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c2,782$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.741,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over70c2,598$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,450$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccd…c863backed Over50c2,242$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over50c2,042$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02113946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,518$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,501$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over50c1,448$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72417344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c1,040$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over50c906$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45320051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under46c842.22$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.3729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c837.69$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c757.86$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c757$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c733$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c704.86$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.4379549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c692.35$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over54c682.71$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7726…4627backed Over52c678.04$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over52c649.46$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over51c589.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7143453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over51c551.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.420638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Over55c547.27$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.272373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c524.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over50c480$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Under51c429.69$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1411447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20813750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over52c384.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.267444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7a…aff2backed Over54c371.83$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.041973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over54c370.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under36c341.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.721,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c283.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over50c252.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2421049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c250.8$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8918459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over50c247.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c239.86$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4417643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeac…bfc1backed Under48c228$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc9…c97ebacked Over52c227.23$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over51c225.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.674734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e8e…2277backed Over52c225.34$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under50c225.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7867248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ec…d3eebacked Over52c225.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2549…aa65backed Over52c224.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…726abacked Under48c224$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdd…b7a9backed Over52c223.34$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb24…21d8backed Over52c223.21$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d3…2fbcbacked Over67c223.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x676c…cc1abacked Under48c223$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b62…3191backed Under48c222.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…7797backed Over52c222.86$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3e…38adbacked Under48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7921…e7fdbacked Under48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70f…7357backed Under48c221$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4277…6945backed Over52c220.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a8…0712backed Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fd…286ebacked Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…4307backed Over52c217.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…aa29backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12f…ab63backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea7…a138backed Under48c217$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a3…1f7bbacked Over52c216.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e6…6b89backed Over52c215.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a0…bca2backed Under48c214$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb6…14c6backed Under48c214$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c45…f6d4backed Over52c213.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x716e…63f7backed Over52c213.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe331…d737backed Under48c212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under45c211.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3228643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9757…3edebacked Under48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f13…080fbacked Under48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa48…8363backed Over52c208.77$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over51c208.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1710748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab9…17e0backed Over52c207.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4b…dcf6backed Over52c207.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x501a…5f30backed Over52c206.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4da…15ecbacked Over52c205.79$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c0…dbfbbacked Under48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535e…76d3backed Over52c204.84$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd010…57adbacked Over52c204.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da3…c75fbacked Over51c203.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.75034%17 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.