NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4cbab4c7c9ec35eca8e7af24248bd52dc25e7dcd9b554e03e7233f545bcc66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,251$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.72 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 57c | 2,037$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Suns | 37c | 970.88$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 36c | 769.5$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nuggets | 33c | 686.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.73 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Nuggets | 44c | 544.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Nuggets | 51c | 393.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.27 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Suns | 62c | 340.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Nuggets | 30c | 329.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Suns | 36c | 253.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Nuggets | 64c | 247.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Suns | 23c | 220.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Nuggets | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuggets | 53c | 205.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Nuggets | 62c | 192.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Suns | 40c | 143.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Suns | 63c | 141.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Nuggets | 43c | 141.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Suns | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 120.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Nuggets | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…f55cbacked Suns | 64c | 105.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Nuggets | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Suns | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Suns | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4539…7f8bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 98.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Nuggets | 51c | 97.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Suns | 59c | 95.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Suns | 57c | 95.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Suns | 28c | 92.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 59c | 87.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b69fbacked Nuggets | 34c | 75.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Suns | 50c | 72.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Suns | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Nuggets | 63c | 60.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Nuggets | 63c | 55.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Suns | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Suns | 67c | 52.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Suns | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…47afbacked Suns | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Nuggets | 61c | 40.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 40.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Suns | 58c | 37.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…139fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 37.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Suns | 56c | 33.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…20a7backed Nuggets | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Suns | 52c | 27.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…3520backed Suns | 60c | 26.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Suns | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 47c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Suns | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Suns | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Suns | 58c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nuggets | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Nuggets | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.