TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,859 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7200…9299backed Yes42c2,125$892 inLost-$892.4636954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No58c2,000$1,160 inWon+$8401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Yes31c796.59$250 inLost-$2508342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd27…5b4cbacked Yes37c470.23$173 inLost-$173633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No67c365.82$245 inWon+$120.5290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No69c300.43$207 inWon+$93.239975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed No68c184.99$126 inWon+$58.951450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked No69c150$104 inWon+$46.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No61c135.06$82 inWon+$52.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes30c131.81$40 inLost-$402962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed No78c128.59$100 inWon+$28.5920247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes36c115.65$42 inLost-$41.938736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No69c110$76 inWon+$34.127074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No68c100$68 inWon+$31.795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No58c99.67$58 inWon+$41.8633653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes42c83.33$35 inLost-$357022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed No78c81$63 inWon+$18.0614753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No70c48.17$34 inWon+$14.4590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No50c47.5$24 inWon+$23.7579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8409…254abacked Yes28c45.72$13 inLost-$13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No72c35.86$26 inWon+$10.2232866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked No66c30$20 inWon+$10.2616551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No67c29.85$20 inWon+$9.859869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0976…922bbacked No58c25.24$15 inWon+$10.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked No65c16$10 inWon+$5.65470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No68c14.91$10 inWon+$4.7746255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.