NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6599854eec550a23ab1878a4290dcc3f52d347d32dbb8ae1e7f5fce5f792265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,954 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 8,779$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.7 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 6,342$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.06 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 4,365$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.54 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 3,364$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 3,220$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.51 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 2,126$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.19 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 49c | 1,480$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.8 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 50c | 636$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 49c | 576.75$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 55c | 362.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…a340backed Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 53c | 181.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 170.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 50c | 138.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 52c | 131.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 48c | 103.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 52c | 96.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 74.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 48c | 68.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 51c | 63.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 63.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 55c | 62.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 48c | 51.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…dae9backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 38.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…bbaebacked Under | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Under | 47c | 31.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…c6e5backed Under | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 47c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…754ebacked Under | 51c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…c21dbacked Over | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…61aebacked Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7d99backed Over | 54c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Suns won
- Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.