TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,728 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b21…41fabacked Under40c6,830$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.337529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c3,737$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.771,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under40c1,821$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.1921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over59c1,748$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c1,250$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c1,244$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under43c1,108$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8110942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over65c981.54$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.542572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over62c749.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over63c475.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.126334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under38c373.29$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under37c351.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.858434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under37c258.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over79c252.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over63c243.11$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under36c220.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over63c220$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc08…ed4fbacked Under41c162$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fdc…6ce2backed Under38c139$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec62…88f7backed Under41c135$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1014…20d1backed Under37c128$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under14c104.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8616224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Under37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under37c97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.891323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over59c96.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3514247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over65c83.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333070%21 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d4…e0f5backed Under37c80.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Under37c71.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over63c71.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2111753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd65f…f5c2backed Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c68.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x311f…cbd3backed Over64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c93…52b1backed Over60c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Under38c57.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf17…c5ddbacked Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…76f3backed Over60c47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc91f…d5eebacked Over63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x072a…3c33backed Over60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b40…aaafbacked Over63c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under37c41.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Under37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b67…642dbacked Over64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4610964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.669262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10b…9885backed Over59c36.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c36.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5311250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under42c35.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c0…7c44backed Over60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…700bbacked Over59c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under37c29.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe011…1a8ebacked Over64c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27fc…4f00backed Over63c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over60c25.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.927766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Over62c24.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0a…c04fbacked Over60c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x822b…d99ebacked Over63c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under43c23.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Over59c23.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Over65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.084551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over57c21.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over62c20.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.683672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.826660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47d7…a977backed Over60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb4…e37abacked Over62c17.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c3…aa33backed Over64c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Over63c16.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over62c16.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2410248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…d203backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d20…6d2bbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.