Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b80ad470203114ef2d0ce5ab04568587eca51080c8c9900fca9ff1db9c2145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,376 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 1,300$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.87 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 64c | 786.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 648.47$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 554$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 412.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 34c | 362.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 314.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 60c | 240.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 194.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 188.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 187.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 178.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Over | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 150.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 80c | 103.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 55c | 90.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 86.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 79.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 39c | 59.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Over | 41c | 40.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed Over | 43c | 38.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Over | 43c | 38.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 43c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 53c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 57c | 30.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 29.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 56c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…5f14backed Over | 43c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Over | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Under | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.