Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32da1791f2d9c8fc1e926d9286058e6e29aa2ac41b58b3981fb3c32297f3a5be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,625 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,195$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 1,661$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 24c | 1,249$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.04 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 75c | 1,234$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked Under | 79c | 604.48$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 490.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.89 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 49c | 488.22$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Under | 9c | 382.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…dad2backed Under | 80c | 348.23$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…b9a4backed Over | 20c | 348.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 10c | 330.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 304.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 17c | 141.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 11c | 133.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 57c | 81.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 78c | 78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 75.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Over | 24c | 63.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 35c | 34.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 40c | 32.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 28.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Under | 78c | 18.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 80c | 12.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Angers SCO (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)Racing Club de Lens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.