Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971f54d104106756a7b07f0c26efbe7f21f1feb03b5b44567672c5ebab14d49e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,059 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.98 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,394$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.78 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,372$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 3,344$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.2 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 3,153$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.36 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,433$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 23c | 1,249$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.25 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 1,186$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 48c | 792.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 615$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 52c | 444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 414.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 48c | 404.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 307$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 303.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 254.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 23c | 218.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 179.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 78c | 162$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 48c | 99.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 95.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 42c | 45.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 46c | 39.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 33.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…67e1backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 48c | 27.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.