Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27406df05d8132f49648d2ff9e60991d82190db9959f2bc112ad3da0c4a7dcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,478$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,404$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.14 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 811.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 557$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 555$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 79c | 385.13$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…11dfbacked Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 277.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 215.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 202.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 199.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 129.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 97.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 80.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 13c | 79.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 56.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 28c | 38.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…8116backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.