TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4361…67e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$60.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.9%+$16.76
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65.8%+$26.97
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+36.6%+$7.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.