NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf242769e0c4286466ade48c361e5c84df56831b63dc92cdbf63a6529c6ae596d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Capitals, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,226,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,292,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,226,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 831 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Capitals | 39c | 370,140$144,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,354.55 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oilers | 61c | 270,676$165,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,030.91 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Oilers | 61c | 171,958$104,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,063.81 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 39c | 93,796$36,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,472.4 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals | 40c | 68,033$27,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,084.34 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 59c | 47,756$28,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,526.87 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 61c | 45,000$27,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,549.91 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Oilers | 62c | 33,000$20,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 60c | 23,988$14,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,518.58 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Capitals | 52c | 23,355$12,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,185.72 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Capitals | 38c | 18,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,839.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Oilers | 52c | 14,452$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,946.23 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…fb4fbacked Capitals | 0c | 14,080$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 37c | 12,246$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.02 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Oilers | 61c | 11,111$6,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.34 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Capitals | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Oilers | 61c | 10,063$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.57 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Oilers | 38c | 10,053$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Capitals | 38c | 9,750$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.98 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Oilers | 62c | 9,677$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.42 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Oilers | 62c | 8,759$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.55 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Capitals | 38c | 8,600$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.92 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Capitals | 61c | 8,105$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Oilers | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Capitals | 39c | 7,892$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.03 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 63c | 7,876$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.6 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 38c | 7,485$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.3 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Capitals | 38c | 7,236$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.86 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Capitals | 38c | 7,186$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 51c | 7,131$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.82 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 38c | 7,078$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.7 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Capitals | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oilers | 42c | 5,997$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.74 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 61c | 5,507$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.65 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Capitals | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Capitals | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Oilers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 38c | 4,946$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…ea1abacked Oilers | 61c | 4,849$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals | 39c | 4,500$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Capitals | 46c | 4,351$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 54c | 4,139$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.9 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Capitals | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Capitals | 44c | 3,930$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.01 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 43c | 3,881$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.4 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Oilers | 38c | 3,762$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Capitals | 39c | 3,744$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oilers | 39c | 3,732$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.28 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Capitals | 39c | 3,727$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.53 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Capitals | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers | 62c | 3,228$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.79 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 37c | 3,179$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 58c | 3,060$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Capitals | 13c | 3,035$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Capitals | 50c | 2,912$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Capitals | 68c | 2,636$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Capitals | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 61c | 2,555$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…8a8fbacked Oilers | 61c | 2,550$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…f009backed Capitals | 39c | 2,496$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Capitals | 41c | 2,463$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Capitals | 65c | 2,323$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 65c | 2,096$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.15 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.01 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 38c | 1,989$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Oilers | 31c | 1,972$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 39c | 1,930$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.7 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Capitals | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 38c | 1,782$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.13 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 16c | 1,761$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.31 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers | 62c | 1,695$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.47 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…669ebacked Capitals | 65c | 1,668$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 38c | 1,656$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.26 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Oilers | 63c | 1,597$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Capitals | 65c | 1,562$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.57 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed Oilers | 13c | 1,511$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +655.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…e1c2backed Capitals | 38c | 1,503$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f1…a74ebacked Oilers | 61c | 1,486$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…ca9bbacked Capitals | 39c | 1,486$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…332bbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,483$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0e…f6b9backed Capitals | 39c | 1,483$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…0ec9backed Capitals | 39c | 1,480$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…276ebacked Oilers | 61c | 1,480$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…c286backed Oilers | 61c | 1,469$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…08f1backed Capitals | 39c | 1,469$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c1e9backed Capitals | 39c | 1,465$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…4fd6backed Oilers | 61c | 1,465$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…a0f7backed Oilers | 61c | 1,463$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…cd81backed Capitals | 39c | 1,463$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…7d3abacked Oilers | 61c | 1,450$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…eae7backed Capitals | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…df84backed Capitals | 39c | 1,447$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…679bbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,447$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481f…f4f2backed Oilers | 61c | 1,447$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Oilersthis page
- Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.