NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd66b735ceb5f1b9bf284fea58d48e0167a2c7aa5a7b550988d774440e272bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 52c | 16,884$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,038.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 7,730$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 4,790$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.52 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 51c | 4,277$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.06 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…fd04backed Under | 48c | 2,828$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,726$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.98 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 48c | 2,330$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.43 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,208$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.21 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 2,022$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.58 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 1,980$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.89 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,819$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 1,599$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 1,491$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 46c | 1,489$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.61 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,466$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.74 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 1,441$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.89 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,311$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.51 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 1,005$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.16 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 896.69$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.92 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 891.46$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 53c | 862.25$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.35 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 38c | 799.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 722.33$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 48c | 700$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 53c | 567$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 45c | 490$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 479.67$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 46c | 479.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.43 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 468$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 443.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 418.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 45c | 412.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 330.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 46c | 301.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 165.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…3343backed Under | 17c | 161.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 66c | 160.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 35c | 151.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 112.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Under | 51c | 104.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 87.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 46c | 77.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 75.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Under | 43c | 62.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…9f88backed Under | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 55.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 53c | 52.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 54c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 40.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 53c | 39.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 38.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 33.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…32dcbacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…f070backed Under | 43c | 28.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Over | 54c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 53c | 22.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…b2eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…7bd3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 75c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Capitals vs. OilersOilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.