Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76d7380bda57ba512e327bffc4f04ed8181b270e3f8321cd5974264dc186564c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof Bilibili Gaming, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming | 0c | 3,659$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 2c | 2,263$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed All Gamers | 38c | 1,071$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.34 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 728.67$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked All Gamers | 36c | 687$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.68 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 595$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked All Gamers | 39c | 465.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.9 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked All Gamers | 38c | 379.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 5c | 291.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 234.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 227.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 214.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 184.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…f4fcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 149.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed All Gamers | 32c | 134.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked All Gamers | 38c | 127$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed All Gamers | 38c | 105.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 91.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 75.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked All Gamers | 72c | 69.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 63.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked All Gamers | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 51.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked All Gamers | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed All Gamers | 62c | 46.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 33.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…67e1backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…9260backed All Gamers | 55c | 24.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 14.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.