Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf26087a3be64fd9a537c772095dc9d79cd3cf856cb8b49dd10365188aadec96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 49c | 8,312$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.07 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 50c | 6,004$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.9 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 50c | 5,656$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 4,614$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.17 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 2c | 3,816$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 3,571$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.21 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 50c | 2,812$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 2,376$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.63 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.3 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,683$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,289$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,273$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 57c | 1,027$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.45 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 51c | 678.55$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 545.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 51c | 506$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.22 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 51c | 436.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 429.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 421$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 49c | 401.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 372.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 62c | 333$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 215$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 214.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 200.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 36c | 188.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 46c | 158$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 45c | 150.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 147.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 141.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 59c | 129.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 128.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 109$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 51c | 97.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 50c | 74.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 36c | 58.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 47.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 51c | 37.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 51c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…babfbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 26.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 56c | 25.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 56c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…8a00backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.