TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,073 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c18,731$6,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,482.393,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0d…9a00backed Over0c15,320$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c11,553$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.622,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under9c9,614$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,721.681,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under9c7,021$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,385.2434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over10c4,540$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over41c2,700$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.971315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over77c2,400$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.966762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under55c2,117$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.573268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.981258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c1,950$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.0153645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Under13c1,556$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.651346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under48c1,517$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over45c1,124$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.611540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under49c1,026$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.721136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under35c977.09$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.7414734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over57c900$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51210552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c856.03$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.831,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over61c819.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x62f0…0171backed Over72c738.18$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over75c680$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under58c665.26$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c599.97$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c590.05$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.541,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over74c554.05$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41018759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under11c540$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+147.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c525.44$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.414260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over61c493.13$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over67c447.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.624025%10 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under49c367.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.356245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under27c343.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.677532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over61c335.38$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.142231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over33c324.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over53c299$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+127.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c280.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0416056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over71c278.21$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.51675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over41c252.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over10c242$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over62c221.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13811065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c189.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.437050%35 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over34c184.12$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over21c183.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55246.2%24 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under52c174.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009548.4%46 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c155.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7930647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over66c142.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946366.7%42 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over78c129.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over27c120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0888…72acbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Under12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883813.2%5 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.55655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over78c89.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.918353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under74c87.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under42c83.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506063.3%38 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over71c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.44266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over69c75.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over60c73.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over61c73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.535860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over59c70.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over73c70$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Under30c69.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Over24c66.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under49c65.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over78c63.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under26c61.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.545939%23 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Over61c58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7048…13d5backed Over69c57.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Over37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over67c56.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick68cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Under33c51.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.682040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under22c48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4418545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over54c46.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd074…36a3backed Under36c41.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over61c41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.017338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over60c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5960%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over62c40.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.933458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over80c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.