Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb728822b7fcae13a0acea2cb91f745fd1e17aff73823b27c5af5371b37c274cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 18,731$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,482.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0d…9a00backed Over | 0c | 15,320$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 11,553$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.62 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 9c | 9,614$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.68 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 9c | 7,021$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.24 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 10c | 4,540$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 77c | 2,400$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.96 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 55c | 2,117$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.57 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,950$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.01 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 13c | 1,556$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Under | 48c | 1,517$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 45c | 1,124$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 49c | 1,026$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 977.09$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.74 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 900$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 856.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 61c | 819.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 72c | 738.18$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 75c | 680$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 58c | 665.26$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 599.97$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 590.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.54 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 74c | 554.05$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 11c | 540$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 525.44$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 61c | 493.13$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 67c | 447.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 27c | 343.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 61c | 335.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 33c | 324.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 53c | 299$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 51c | 280.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 71c | 278.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 252.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 10c | 242$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 62c | 221.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 189.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 34c | 184.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 21c | 183.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 52c | 174.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 42c | 155.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 142.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over | 78c | 129.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…72acbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 78c | 89.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under | 74c | 87.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 42c | 83.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 71c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 59c | 70.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 30c | 69.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Over | 24c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under | 49c | 65.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 63.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Over | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 69c | 57.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Over | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 67c | 56.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 33c | 51.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 22c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 46.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…36a3backed Under | 36c | 41.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 60c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 62c | 40.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.