TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,249 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c13,639$9,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.773,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over33c6,119$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c3,316$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.5553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over23c2,800$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.36844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c2,248$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.42,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over32c2,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305151%26 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…3319backed Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over36c1,410$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.861926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under33c1,384$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.915133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c1,178$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.841,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Over66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over47c999.91$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under57c970$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c898.94$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.341,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under79c842.01$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over30c832.66$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.87532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c716.11$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.641,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over58c710$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.81861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c540.79$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653520%7 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over49c496.23$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.152729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.1wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over39c469.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over48c410.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19711843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over54c403.87$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.945246.2%24 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over49c399.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over73c383$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.591353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb29…3bc6backed Under29c375.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+144.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over62c300$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under27c299.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9910855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over37c299.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9810246.1%47 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over72c262.06$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.211,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over68c229.55$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…da14backed Over71c228.41$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over46c217.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over59c210$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.92433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under78c180.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over73c171.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over33c166.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0914734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over32c156.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…9cabbacked Over71c147.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Under35c145.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.313426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c144.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0663645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over28c136.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9160%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over66c130$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.85466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over72c124.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c124.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2822221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under67c115.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4830647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under71c109.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310864.8%70 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259123.1%21 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over72c93.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505347.2%25 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under48c77.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.392343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under67c70.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under61c70.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.153458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under71c70.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.434551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over72c70.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6133938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over51c69.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.893345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under28c67.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.86875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+115.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c64.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5734144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under27c64.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.741,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over33c60.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.962556%14 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+70.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.775939%23 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under29c54.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.487766.2%51 W · 26 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55267.3%35 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x526e…a03cbacked Over72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215563.6%35 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ec90backed Over73c46.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Over72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9214942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf55…92a2backed Over46c34.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under70c28.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5920153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over73c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.445855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under49c26.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8abf…782dbacked Over73c26.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under54c22.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.