Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85cfc46c714762976878e90d7e4e312d00cf1b1acde261a22462dd917ae3c6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 13,639$9,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 33c | 6,119$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 3,316$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.55 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 23c | 2,800$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.3 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 2,248$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 36c | 1,410$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 33c | 1,384$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.91 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 1,178$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.84 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Over | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 47c | 999.91$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.96 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Under | 57c | 970$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 898.94$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.34 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under | 79c | 842.01$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 30c | 832.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 716.11$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 58c | 710$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 540.79$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 496.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 39c | 469.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 48c | 410.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 54c | 403.87$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.94 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 73c | 383$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…3bc6backed Under | 29c | 375.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 300$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 37c | 299.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 262.06$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 68c | 229.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…da14backed Over | 71c | 228.41$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Under | 78c | 180.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 33c | 166.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…9cabbacked Over | 71c | 147.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Under | 35c | 145.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 144.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 28c | 136.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Over | 72c | 124.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 124.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 67c | 115.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under | 71c | 109.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 72c | 93.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 48c | 77.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Under | 67c | 70.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 61c | 70.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 71c | 70.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 72c | 70.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 28c | 64.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 64.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 33c | 60.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 29c | 54.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 46c | 34.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 49c | 26.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…782dbacked Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 54c | 22.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.