TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,817 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No49c9,338$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.453,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No27c6,028$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400.513063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+50.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65016652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes49c3,100$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,803$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.082,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked No63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes73c1,520$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.076768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes56c1,238$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c1,122$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.9976234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes57c1,055$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024132%77 W · 164 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No28c849.97$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.981421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005046%23 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No27c699.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9935856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes72c652.78$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes73c502.74$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3671526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No44c499.51$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3414734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked Yes71c469.01$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…88e8backed Yes62c436.18$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes37c409.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No32c404.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.837067.1%47 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…b190backed Yes42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes19c366.74$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.927532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes70c357.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c339.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes53c319.2$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.276645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c318.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.221,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No27c307$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1130054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2135326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21333340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes71c263.72$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a7…e494backed Yes39c257.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes43c255.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c249.58$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.263645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes22c224.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.228950.6%45 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes73c202$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.797345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes52c199.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9912538.4%48 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No56c194.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4238151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes63c190.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes75c168.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265261.5%32 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes42c165.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes61c164.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.287958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3597…775fbacked No69c153.62$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Yes36c139.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No50c138.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No54c125.38$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Yes72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes57c122$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.548664%55 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c120.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.431,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes59c118.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.531656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes71c114.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.641,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes45c112.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8122221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Yes39c110.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8960%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No67c107.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.137050%35 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes57c104$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.282030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010864.8%70 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912564%16 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No28c88.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6834144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes72c84.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes66c83.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.336665.2%43 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Yes46c80.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.263571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed No32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No50c73.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No27c67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.621,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No49c64.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0730647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes73c64.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c61.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes21c61.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick33cpaid+180.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes70c60.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6549647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes50c60.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a0…2813backed Yes52c59.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes58c59.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes20c58.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.453438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315267.3%35 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Yes55c45.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes69c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.795855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed No29c41.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.543158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.