Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128c60ad8acf5eb9eac81b5806f3daedc38a77931f1a8250c8506c98b60fdcc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,817 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 9,338$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 27c | 6,028$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 49c | 3,100$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.96 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,803$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 73c | 1,520$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 56c | 1,238$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 1,122$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.99 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 57c | 1,055$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 28c | 849.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 27c | 699.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 72c | 652.78$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 73c | 502.74$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 44c | 499.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.34 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…075abacked Yes | 71c | 469.01$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 62c | 436.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 37c | 409.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 32c | 404.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.83 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 366.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 339.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 53c | 319.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 34c | 318.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 27c | 307$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.11 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 71c | 263.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…e494backed Yes | 39c | 257.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 249.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 22c | 224.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 73c | 202$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 52c | 199.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 194.09$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 75c | 168.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 42c | 165.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 61c | 164.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…775fbacked No | 69c | 153.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 36c | 139.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 50c | 138.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 54c | 125.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 120.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 59c | 118.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 114.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 45c | 112.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Yes | 39c | 110.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 67c | 107.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 28c | 88.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 72c | 84.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 66c | 83.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Yes | 46c | 80.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 50c | 73.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 27c | 67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 64.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…625abacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 61.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 21c | 61.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +180.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 60.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…2813backed Yes | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 58c | 59.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 20c | 58.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Yes | 55c | 45.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 29c | 41.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.