Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f466a3ec2ee06b19f7738fe6f36cbaa982f9728fcf6f738e12768d88cc0a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 23,254$11,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,177.26 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 13,347$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.97 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Over | 53c | 7,989$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 7,708$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 6,774$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.88 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 6,598$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.89 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 53c | 5,954$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…613dbacked Over | 52c | 5,925$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 52c | 5,577$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 4,258$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.02 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 52c | 3,755$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 3,231$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.35 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 48c | 3,100$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 52c | 2,065$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,031$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.89 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,890$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,117$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.95 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 13c | 1,030$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 999.94$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 994.64$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.27 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…93d2backed Over | 52c | 842.67$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 52c | 690.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 47c | 637.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.13 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 588$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 51c | 560.34$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 52c | 450.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 48c | 309.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 53c | 281.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 269.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 268.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Over | 26c | 240.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e89fbacked Over | 14c | 226.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Over | 17c | 221.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 206.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 62c | 160.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…9041backed Over | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 142.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 53c | 139.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 52c | 134.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 122.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 115.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 112.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Under | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 59c | 103.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…73abbacked Under | 58c | 99.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 97.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 17c | 85.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 75.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…19e1backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Over | 33c | 63.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 49c | 63.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 48c | 62.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Over | 53c | 60.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 53c | 60.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 53c | 58.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 56c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 51c | 49.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 49.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 51c | 46.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 50c | 41.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Under won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.