Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57036589fbf7947c43cd38dfae7f6df34768a2a3e81e2727fe93f739ba5bbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,784 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 16c | 14,867$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.18 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 13,185$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 28c | 5,339$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.6 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 4,985$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.22 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 3,990$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…0274backed Yes | 21c | 3,260$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 33c | 2,923$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 9c | 2,551$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 8c | 2,281$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 2,233$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.33 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 2,095$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.33 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 1,984$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.79 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 31c | 1,651$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 1,567$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.01 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 1,377$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.68 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Yes | 79c | 1,343$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 34c | 1,331$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.73 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 1,179$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.07 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 1,061$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.79 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 13c | 998.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.11 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 33c | 912.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 29c | 700.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 653.58$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 13c | 599.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 574$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 570.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.39 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 78c | 535.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…db4cbacked Yes | 35c | 507.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 25c | 500.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 468.92$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 466.89$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 28c | 442$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 66c | 401.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 66c | 345.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 52c | 345.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 17c | 303.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 284.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 68c | 241.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 9c | 230$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 217.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 24c | 200.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 34c | 193$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Yes | 29c | 192.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 57c | 175.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…2346backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 11c | 168.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…1bf2backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…0533backed Yes | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 42c | 135$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed No | 18c | 131.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 55c | 129.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 11c | 128.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 118$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 9c | 114.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 113.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…b5b7backed Yes | 18c | 112.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +463.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…ee14backed Yes | 80c | 108.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 105$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 103.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 33c | 100.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…379ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 99.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 95.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 34c | 94.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…8998backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…9191backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.