Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79a71093497de2ae222917a42bddec564635e055f5aa92562d8531610a1dd245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 12,375$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,185.25 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 7,461$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 3,989$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 3,690$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 3,351$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.09 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,099$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.58 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 65c | 3,078$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 36c | 2,923$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,498$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.17 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 64c | 2,493$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.49 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 33c | 2,020$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 1,419$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.83 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 754.77$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 748.71$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.53 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 23c | 699.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 64c | 537.35$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 64c | 509.44$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 65c | 473.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed No | 65c | 409$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 66c | 380.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 36c | 347.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 329.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 9c | 316.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 62c | 262.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 261$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 245$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 21c | 242.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed No | 34c | 222$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 64c | 219$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 192.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 33c | 183.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked No | 65c | 167$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…f5c2backed Yes | 35c | 153$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 65c | 150.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…a408backed Yes | 35c | 133$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 36c | 113.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 60c | 101.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 35c | 97.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 33c | 95.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 93.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 34c | 89.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed No | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…33d5backed No | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 65c | 69.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…ad82backed Yes | 35c | 60.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 65c | 60.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbc…ffbabacked Yes | 35c | 54.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 53.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 65c | 52.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498a…9184backed Yes | 35c | 50.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed No | 65c | 49.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 65c | 47.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…becfbacked No | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…61f0backed No | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 36c | 46.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked No | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 41.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…ce01backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 67c | 41.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…56babacked No | 65c | 41.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…df6abacked No | 66c | 38.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 42c | 37.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 39c | 36.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…8c5cbacked No | 66c | 35.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…d4e6backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…5b4dbacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775a…0874backed No | 66c | 31.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.