South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe5ae9dec9ad99b566687b5094b4f232c17c21f4034af539ab1f651ba9e6c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 31c | 36,060$11,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 23,553$16,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,909.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 41c | 15,970$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 37c | 15,726$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 14,149$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 62c | 13,000$8,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.25 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 11,891$6,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…ea34backed Yes | 27c | 11,364$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 10,504$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,445.29 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 40c | 9,662$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 37c | 6,844$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.8 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 31c | 5,958$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.9 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 5,773$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 37c | 4,630$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.99 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 67c | 4,135$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.14 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 41c | 3,853$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.75 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,586$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 2,033$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.7 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 40c | 1,937$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 37c | 1,667$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.77 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 1,530$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.97 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 1,393$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 37c | 1,345$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,343$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.06 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,120$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 991.21$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 35c | 990.97$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.28 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 756.45$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 743.49$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 653.34$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 71c | 630.07$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 577$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 577$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 577$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 40c | 573.23$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 40c | 522.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 40c | 514.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 45c | 499.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 59c | 480.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 41c | 470.02$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 464.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 59c | 451.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 434.91$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 389$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 60c | 330.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 74c | 324.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 62c | 321.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 35c | 292.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 70c | 291.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 74c | 267$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…c3fabacked Yes | 40c | 240.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 237.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 225.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 61c | 196.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 170.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 39c | 167.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…6c35backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 56c | 164.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 40c | 152.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 39c | 142.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 37c | 136.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 68c | 129.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 65c | 124.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 117.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 110.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 105.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 61c | 98.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Yes | 39c | 97.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 71c | 97.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 30c | 94.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 40c | 86.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed No | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 35c | 84.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 31c | 82.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed Yes | 34c | 82.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed No | 74c | 80.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 21c | 79.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 59c | 79.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 65c | 76.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 71c | 74.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.