South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2700c9e57cb26fbcc3ca07cd6722f26d9eb7298257ec2d733940c65250150f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 15,927$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,485.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 11,903$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,068.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 4,675$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.05 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 3,889$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.58 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 1,614$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 53c | 533.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 53c | 524.74$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.35 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 520.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 503.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed Yes | 38c | 485.26$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 50c | 390$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 54c | 377.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 52c | 341.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 54c | 294.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 50c | 256.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…7534backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 50c | 171.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 48c | 164.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 35c | 154.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 52c | 142.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 56c | 125.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 59c | 106.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 51c | 88.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be3…4c3bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 42c | 79.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 34c | 72.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…d569backed Yes | 34c | 69.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 45c | 64.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 47c | 56.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 53.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 50.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 67c | 40.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 66c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 54c | 28.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 51c | 25.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Yes | 47c | 22.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.