South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30247081f1ec0ed7a2d72e0540fba809fdfcc6751623476061699e7f746c8b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 4,563$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.76 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 3,613$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.96 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 2,013$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.52 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 55c | 1,983$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.89 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 22c | 1,399$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.43 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,397$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.41 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 33c | 1,394$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.19 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 26c | 1,268$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.54 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 74c | 1,108$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.69 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 67c | 862.92$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 673.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 17c | 537.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 79c | 390$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 20c | 274.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 206.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 11c | 157.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 40c | 127.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 108.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…99cfbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 20c | 99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 27c | 90.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 90.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 80c | 63.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 74c | 50.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 44c | 50.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 31c | 44.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 38c | 41.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 75c | 36.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 24.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 73c | 17.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 13.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.