TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,281 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes42c66,218$27,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,805.4818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No58c15,786$9,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,620.4823354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c11,852$6,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.673,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No58c8,099$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.583167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No60c6,178$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c3,356$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.5749449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c2,605$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.018153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No77c2,129$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes17c2,120$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.051,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No58c1,788$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.9622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No58c1,275$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.512757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes34c830.34$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1214022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes41c462.81$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Yes27c443.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c435$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.71,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes25c312.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0818140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c296.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c269.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.031,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes30c264$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.315944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.629956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No58c211.07$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.656842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c205.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.021,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c205$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.23857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.83759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No58c138$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.962,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes25c127.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.852548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes43c124$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.321,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes11c120.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No58c120.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.444566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.413557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes23c117.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No58c109$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.785752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes37c108.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1413739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No58c101.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.845151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c101.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308648.8%42 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes38c77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No59c71.37$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No58c68.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c63.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No57c63.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.324757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No58c62.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No58c62.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No58c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.622360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No58c60.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.613253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.24163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed No58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe700…958ebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes41c44.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83759.5%22 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No58c38.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.162560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes42c38.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes28c36.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked No58c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes42c31.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.276857.4%39 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a56…478abacked Yes43c29.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.