South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb660e31964214127f70b6afec120f392f45dd5e228e2aa5f2cf8e8455ea551f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,459 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 6,278$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 4,067$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,971$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.86 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 69c | 1,010$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 21c | 670.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 21c | 535.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 323.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 295.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.49 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 26c | 226$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 216.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 213.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 207.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 207.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 20c | 178.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 167.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.61 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 154.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 62c | 151.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 147.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 18c | 136.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 54c | 113.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 107.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed No | 20c | 105.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 59c | 94.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 76c | 82.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…37dcbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 20c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 72.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…06a0backed Yes | 19c | 64.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 26c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed Yes | 27c | 57.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 42c | 39.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 36.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 76c | 36.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 75c | 33.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 30.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 41c | 29.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 29.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 23.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.