TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c13,463$6,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,153.534,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.998041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191a…9d0dbacked Under46c7,775$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c7,064$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.1650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over54c5,538$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.422524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under47c4,397$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over58c4,004$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.1822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9618…6409backed Under46c3,461$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c3,260$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.183,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over54c2,402$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c2,379$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.3411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over56c2,042$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.6311444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over55c1,830$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under45c1,774$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Over55c1,700$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7652657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over57c1,432$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5813263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over54c1,160$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.423762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over53c1,085$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.163262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over55c899.97$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over56c891.41$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c775.79$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.032,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.294146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under43c705.56$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.391540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3019751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c697.31$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.124334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c666.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under46c620.45$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.411040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under46c620.33$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under44c590.55$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6613728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over53c487.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.931450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under47c437.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under43c349.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4921849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1e…4086backed Under50c342.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c308.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under33c294.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4233544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over55c270.91$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1620148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c252.75$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.520949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.282060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under45c244.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c239.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over57c236.84$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.846457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.147354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over57c218.54$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9730842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under38c218.51$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2428847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Over57c210.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5315062%93 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e09…2d11backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c196.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.681,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over57c195$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.852958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over55c182.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f21…f6a3backed Under47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.421151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69e3…c6d4backed Under47c172$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a1…453fbacked Under47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c161.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over55c156.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.519553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d9…9becbacked Under47c144$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over56c142.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1675…3203backed Under47c138$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x525c…a7d5backed Under46c137$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a32…c872backed Under46c133$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…646fbacked Over57c131.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under44c130$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c115.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under44c113.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.34271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under43c109.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2919152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.824746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506657.6%38 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4417651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.994553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over53c93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under43c92.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995151%26 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.