La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e65c836a46090e2fc677527954efc6ea63f633c5c8222eb04a50965cac0a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 13,463$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…9d0dbacked Under | 46c | 7,775$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 7,064$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.16 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 54c | 5,538$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.42 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 47c | 4,397$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 58c | 4,004$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.18 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…6409backed Under | 46c | 3,461$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 3,260$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 54c | 2,402$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 2,379$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.34 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 2,042$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.63 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 1,830$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 45c | 1,774$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 57c | 1,432$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.58 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 54c | 1,160$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.42 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 55c | 899.97$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 56c | 891.41$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 775.79$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Under | 43c | 705.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 44c | 697.31$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 666.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 46c | 620.45$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 46c | 620.33$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 44c | 590.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 53c | 487.09$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Under | 47c | 437.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 43c | 349.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed Under | 50c | 342.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 45c | 308.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 33c | 294.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 55c | 270.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 252.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 218.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 38c | 218.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 196.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 57c | 195$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over | 55c | 182.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…f6a3backed Under | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…c6d4backed Under | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a1…453fbacked Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 161.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…9becbacked Under | 47c | 144$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 56c | 142.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1675…3203backed Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…a7d5backed Under | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…c872backed Under | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…646fbacked Over | 57c | 131.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 115.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 44c | 113.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 43c | 109.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 53c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 43c | 92.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…259ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.