TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No40c12,864$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.5150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c11,225$4,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,597.194,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes60c7,493$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes60c3,345$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3455453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c3,199$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes59c2,550$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.55050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c2,006$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.82,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes61c1,735$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2611159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.24153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes59c1,175$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.8626550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No41c939.44$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c757.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No41c700$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28712954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c621.94$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.311,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes59c610.17$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.173565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No41c599.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.992532%8 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3320148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes59c525.83$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.598341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes59c511.05$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed Yes60c508.72$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes60c500$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.65431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes59c497.83$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1113728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes58c470.03$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.124766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes58c447.96$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.145255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes58c377.93$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.733040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No43c372.94$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1717032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes58c349.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.987750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No41c341.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes60c333.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed No30c330.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes59c315.25$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2511264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c310.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.781,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f2…24b0backed Yes60c288.57$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No41c268.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bc2…e870backed Yes59c264.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No40c264$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.635148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No42c258.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.082755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No41c256.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3522746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.332955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed No8c221.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.726512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes58c220.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.692972.4%21 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes59c213.3$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4550449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b73…b96fbacked Yes59c212.75$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.23560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes73c206.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.835248.1%25 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Yes60c203.63$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.454456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09a…e290backed Yes59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.392277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes60c200.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6711149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes60c191.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414045%18 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97d1…0d75backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Yes59c169.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677072.9%51 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes57c153.15$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.861450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No42c139.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0628847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…6e9dbacked Yes59c135.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.63650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes58c129.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.577851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Yes60c129.22$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.695100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked No41c119.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.552951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…bb76backed Yes59c107.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.053461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6916250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…ace4backed Yes67c100.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4219237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.836752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Yes58c86.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.291060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes60c80.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.615754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes68c76.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.59557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7514552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…e0f5backed No42c71.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes57c69.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.13839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes64c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.944647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No27c56.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3844424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes58c56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.363560%21 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed No42c55.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes61c53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9411947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf85…03f9backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.854973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.857554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No42c50.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4313648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.