Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed484ca8393b0407bbb4b8230c187b8d7aaf5ef7e8f6ab9574c05dc3e672eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 4,624$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 3,334$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.06 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 49c | 1,642$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.51 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 805.66$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 805.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.39 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 582.65$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 49c | 519.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 496.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 433.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 393.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 51c | 388.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 23c | 265.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 52c | 196.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 195.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 49c | 141.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 39c | 100.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 99.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 52c | 98.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 76.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 52c | 64.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Yes | 50c | 54.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…b90dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 45.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…bf5bbacked Yes | 49c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…b543backed No | 50c | 39.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 44c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 30.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…af14backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 52c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 49c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Portsmouth FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.