TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea9…b90d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$30.73
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$6.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Dota 2: MODUS vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.23
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked ALIS VENTORUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$64.97
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+83.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+105.1%+$31.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.