Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adcca0a0f2861a58bc7a43cbd2e66ff8adea210d16ee463e5df3fef4098b946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof MOUZ, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 48c | 22,534$10,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,770.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 13,941$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.61 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PlayTime | 70c | 5,947$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 50c | 5,156$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.39 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 60c | 5,024$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.53 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 48c | 4,994$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.2 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 54c | 4,419$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked MOUZ | 72c | 4,411$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed PlayTime | 53c | 4,324$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed PlayTime | 45c | 3,543$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 58c | 3,389$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.26 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 3,350$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.22 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,178$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.73 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 51c | 2,930$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.48 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 38c | 2,820$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.4 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 48c | 2,641$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.5 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,323$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.78 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed PlayTime | 59c | 2,033$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.94 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…20e0backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,991$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,895$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.83 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,894$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PlayTime | 70c | 1,796$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.65 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,773$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,735$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,698$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.67 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 1,638$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.21 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,451$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PlayTime | 52c | 1,425$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,396$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,378$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.72 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,289$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.6 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PlayTime | 53c | 1,180$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.67 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed PlayTime | 53c | 1,106$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.08 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…5874backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,065$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,007$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.45 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PlayTime | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.62 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked PlayTime | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed PlayTime | 54c | 969.29$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.03 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 23c | 943.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked MOUZ | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked PlayTime | 59c | 849.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.49 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed PlayTime | 74c | 838.96$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ | 41c | 813.3$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked MOUZ | 33c | 802.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PlayTime | 54c | 799.66$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.84 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PlayTime | 76c | 791.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 59c | 786.38$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PlayTime | 52c | 784.04$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 47c | 774.4$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 725.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PlayTime | 70c | 715.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime | 70c | 714.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked MOUZ | 41c | 691.95$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 52c | 653.19$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.92 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 35c | 614$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.9 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 28c | 600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed PlayTime | 50c | 598.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 37c | 583.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed PlayTime | 59c | 554.95$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.53 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PlayTime | 52c | 550.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…0457backed PlayTime | 52c | 514.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed PlayTime | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed MOUZ | 50c | 492.94$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked PlayTime | 64c | 488.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 53c | 485.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…2453backed MOUZ | 32c | 465.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ | 46c | 449.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed PlayTime | 55c | 430.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed PlayTime | 49c | 408.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed MOUZ | 22c | 404.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked PlayTime | 39c | 400$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed PlayTime | 57c | 397$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MOUZ | 5c | 395.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed MOUZ | 40c | 379.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 370.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed PlayTime | 64c | 352.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed PlayTime | 55c | 350.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 57c | 349.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PlayTime | 40c | 322.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed PlayTime | 54c | 319.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.72 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked MOUZ | 41c | 317.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed MOUZ | 39c | 314.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed MOUZ | 51c | 296$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…5d04backed MOUZ | 53c | 292.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 292.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed PlayTime | 53c | 284.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.